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Financing Multifamily Deals in Central Florida: Data-Driven Insights & Strategy

  • Writer: Sydney Avolt
    Sydney Avolt
  • Sep 16
  • 2 min read

Updated: Sep 17

The multifamily sector in Central Florida continues to attract investors and developers, but the financing landscape has shifted. Costs are higher, risks are more pronounced, and capital structures are being tested. The key to navigating this environment is data-driven decision-making. These insights were noted by Sydney Avolt, Director of Marketing at Cliggitt Realty, who attended the Interface Conference: Central Florida Multifamily Conference and tracked the market themes shaping today’s deals.


Key Market Metrics

Metric

Value / Trend

Notes

Average Monthly Rent (Tampa Bay, all property types)

~$2,208

Asking rents, August 2025

Orlando average asking rent

~$2,010

August 2025

Vacancy Rate (Florida multifamily, statewide)

~6.9%

Up from ~5.8% a year ago

Tampa multifamily vacancy

~6.5%

Reflects metro vacancy

Orlando multifamily vacancy

~6.2%

Reflects metro vacancy

Net absorption Tampa (12-mo. period ending Q1 2025)

~5,700 units

Up ~29% vs 2020-24 average

New supply Tampa Q1 2025

~3,100 units

Completions, some delayed by storms

Median Household Income (Tampa Bay)

~$77,900

↑4.0% year-over-year

Insurance cost increase (Florida multifamily)

~150% in 2 years

~$800/unit → ~$2,000/unit

Impact of insurance on values

~6.8% decline since 2019

Compared to ~3.6% nationally

Cap rate trend (Florida multifamily)

~5.5% Q2 2025

Above national average of ~5.2%

What the Data Means


1. Margins Under Pressure

Insurance, hurricane risk, and construction costs are driving expenses sharply higher. Middle-income renters are being priced out, which complicates underwriting and long-term absorption assumptions.


2. Interest Rate Reality

Deals that worked at 3% no longer pencil at today’s higher rates. Bridge loans, mezzanine capital, and layered structures are increasingly required. Well-capitalized players remain best positioned.


3. Florida’s Strengths

Despite these hurdles, Sarasota, Tampa Bay, and Orlando remain among the strongest markets in the Southeast thanks to population growth, job creation, and Florida’s tax-friendly climate. Long-term fundamentals remain bullish.


4. Underwriting Takeaways

  • Stress-test vacancy at 6–7% or higher.

  • Assume modest rent growth in line with inflation.

  • Build in higher operating expenses, especially for insurance.

  • Model conservative exit cap rates.


Conclusion

The fundamentals of Central Florida multifamily remain compelling, but success depends on adaptability in financing and discipline in underwriting. Rising costs and higher rates require smarter deal structures and sharper risk management.


As Director of Marketing at Cliggitt Realty, I found the Interface Conference reinforced a clear takeaway: the market is evolving, but opportunity remains strong for those who plan strategically and think long-term.



If we can assist with any of your real estate needs, please contact me today!


Sydney Avolt

Cliggitt Realty

Director of Marketing

727.403.7418 - Direct Line


Sources

  1. Graystone Investment Group, Tampa Bay & Central Florida Rental Market Report, August 2025.

  2. Largo Capital, Florida CRE Market Update, Q2 2025.

  3. Northmarq, Multifamily Market Insights, Q1 2025.

  4. Cushman & Wakefield, MarketBeat Report, Q2 2025.

  5. Matthews Real Estate Insights, Florida Multifamily Operational Costs, 2025.

  6. YieldPro, Insurance Costs and Multifamily Housing, 2025.

  7. CBRE Research Brief, Insurance Costs Suppress Multifamily Values, 2025.

 
 
 

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